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Probability — Mutually exclusive events and the addition law

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Mutually Exclusive Events and the Addition Law

Mutually exclusive events cannot happen at the same time.

1. What are mutually exclusive events?

Two events are mutually exclusive if they have no outcomes in common.

\[ A \cap B = \varnothing \]

This means that if event \(A\) happens, then event \(B\) cannot happen at the same time.

2. The addition law

For mutually exclusive events \(A\) and \(B\):

\[ P(A \text{ or } B)=P(A \cup B)=P(A)+P(B) \]

We can add the probabilities directly because there is no overlap.

3. Example

One fair die is rolled.

Let:

  • \(A\): getting a 2
  • \(B\): getting a 5

These events are mutually exclusive because a die cannot show 2 and 5 at the same time.

\[ P(A)=\frac{1}{6}, \qquad P(B)=\frac{1}{6} \]

So:

\[ P(A \cup B)=P(A)+P(B)=\frac{1}{6}+\frac{1}{6}=\frac{2}{6}=\frac{1}{3} \]

4. If events are not mutually exclusive

If two events can happen together, then they are not mutually exclusive.

In that case, we must subtract the overlap:

\[ P(A \cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A \cap B) \]

This avoids counting the common outcomes twice.

5. Exam tips

  • Look for phrases like cannot happen together.
  • For mutually exclusive events, use addition.
  • Always check whether there is any overlap.
  • If there is overlap, use \(P(A \cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A \cap B)\).
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