Megan sends messages to her friends in one of 3 different ways: text, email or social media. For each message, the probability that she uses text is 0.3 and the probability that she uses email is 0.2. She receives an immediate reply from a text message with probability 0.4, from an email with probability 0.15 and from social media with probability 0.6.
(i) Draw a fully labelled tree diagram to represent this information.
(ii) Given that Megan does not receive an immediate reply to a message, find the probability that the message was an email.
On each day that Tamar goes to work, he wears either a blue suit with probability 0.6 or a grey suit with probability 0.4. If he wears a blue suit then the probability that he wears red socks is 0.2. If he wears a grey suit then the probability that he wears red socks is 0.32.
(i) Find the probability that Tamar wears red socks on any particular day that he is at work.
(ii) Given that Tamar is not wearing red socks at work, find the probability that he is wearing a grey suit.
A box contains 3 red balls and 5 blue balls. One ball is taken at random from the box and not replaced. A yellow ball is then put into the box. A second ball is now taken at random from the box.
In a group of students, the numbers of boys and girls studying Art, Music and Drama are given in the following table. Each of these 160 students is studying exactly one of these subjects.
| Art | Music | Drama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boys | 24 | 40 | 32 |
| Girls | 15 | 12 | 37 |
Find the probability that a randomly chosen student is not studying Drama, given that the student is a girl.
The members of a swimming club are classified either as ‘Advanced swimmers’ or ‘Beginners’. The proportion of members who are male is \(x\), and the proportion of males who are Beginners is 0.7. The proportion of females who are Advanced swimmers is 0.55. This information is shown in the tree diagram.
For a randomly chosen member, the probability of being an Advanced swimmer is the same as the probability of being a Beginner.
(i) Find \(x\).
(ii) Given that a randomly chosen member is an Advanced swimmer, find the probability that the member is male.