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June 2016 p63 q7
3027
Passengers are travelling to Picton by minibus. The probability that each passenger carries a backpack is 0.65, independently of other passengers. Each minibus has seats for 12 passengers.
(i) Find the probability that, in a full minibus travelling to Picton, between 8 passengers and 10 passengers inclusive carry a backpack.
(ii) Passengers get on to an empty minibus. Find the probability that the fourth passenger who gets on to the minibus will be the first to be carrying a backpack.
Solution
(i) We use the binomial probability formula:
\(P(X = r) = \binom{n}{r} p^r (1-p)^{n-r}\)
where \(n = 12\), \(p = 0.65\), and \(1-p = 0.35\).
(ii) The probability that the fourth passenger is the first to carry a backpack is calculated by considering the first three passengers do not carry a backpack and the fourth does: