June 2019 p62 q3
3010
The probability that Janice will buy an item online in any week is 0.35. Janice does not buy more than one item online in any week.
Find the probability that, in a 10-week period, Janice buys at most 7 items online.
Solution
We model this situation using a binomial distribution with parameters: number of trials \(n = 10\) and probability of success \(p = 0.35\).
The probability that Janice buys at most 7 items is given by:
\(P(X \leq 7) = 1 - P(X = 8) - P(X = 9) - P(X = 10)\)
Using the binomial probability formula \(P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}\), we calculate:
\(P(X = 8) = \binom{10}{8} (0.35)^8 (0.65)^2\)
\(P(X = 9) = \binom{10}{9} (0.35)^9 (0.65)^1\)
\(P(X = 10) = \binom{10}{10} (0.35)^{10} (0.65)^0\)
Substituting these into the equation:
\(P(X \leq 7) = 1 - (0.004281 + 0.0005123 + 0.00002759)\)
\(P(X \leq 7) = 1 - 0.00482089\)
\(P(X \leq 7) = 0.995\)
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