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9709 P6 - Nov 2004 - Q3
2645

When Andrea needs a taxi, she rings one of three taxi companies, A, B or C. 50% of her calls are to taxi company A, 30% to B and 20% to C. A taxi from company A arrives late 4% of the time, a taxi from company B arrives late 6% of the time and a taxi from company C arrives late 17% of the time.

  1. Find the probability that, when Andrea rings for a taxi, it arrives late.
  2. Given that Andrea’s taxi arrives late, find the conditional probability that she rang company B.
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