Exam-Style Problem

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Nov 2012 p62 q1
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Fabio drinks coffee each morning. He chooses Americano, Cappuccino or Latte with probabilities 0.5, 0.3 and 0.2 respectively. If he chooses Americano he either drinks it immediately with probability 0.8, or leaves it to drink later. If he chooses Cappuccino he either drinks it immediately with probability 0.6, or leaves it to drink later. If he chooses Latte he either drinks it immediately with probability 0.1, or leaves it to drink later.

(i) Find the probability that Fabio chooses Americano and leaves it to drink later.

(ii) Fabio drinks his coffee immediately. Find the probability that he chose Latte.

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