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Nov 2013 p61 q2
2624
The people living in two towns, Mumbok and Bagville, are classified by age. The numbers in thousands living in each town are shown in the table below.
Mumbok
Bagville
Under 18 years
15
35
18 to 60 years
55
95
Over 60 years
20
30
One of the towns is chosen. The probability of choosing Mumbok is 0.6 and the probability of choosing Bagville is 0.4. Then a person is chosen at random from that town. Given that the person chosen is between 18 and 60 years old, find the probability that the town chosen was Mumbok.
Solution
Let \(M\) be the event that Mumbok is chosen, and \(18{-}60\) be the event that a person aged between 18 and 60 is chosen.
The probability of choosing Mumbok and a person aged 18 to 60 is: