Dayo chooses two digits at random, without replacement, from the 9-digit number 113 333 555.
Find the probability that the first digit Dayo chose was a 5, given that the second digit he chose is not a 5.
Solution
Let the event that the first digit is 5 be denoted as \(5_1\) and the event that the second digit is not 5 be denoted as \(\overline{5}_2\).
The probability that the first digit is 5 and the second digit is not 5 is:
\(P(5_1 \cap \overline{5}_2) = \frac{3}{9} \times \frac{6}{8} = \frac{1}{4}\)
The probability that the second digit is not 5 is:
\(P(\overline{5}_2) = \frac{1}{4} + \frac{6}{9} \times \frac{5}{8} = \frac{48}{72} = 0.6666\)
The conditional probability that the first digit is 5 given that the second digit is not 5 is:
\(P(5_1 | \overline{5}_2) = \frac{\frac{1}{4}}{\frac{48}{72}} = \frac{3}{8} = 0.375\)
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