Browsing as Guest. Progress, bookmarks and attempts are disabled.
Log in to track your work.
Nov 2017 p61 q5
2605
Over a period of time Julian finds that on long-distance flights he flies economy class on 82% of flights. On the rest of the flights he flies first class. When he flies economy class, the probability that he gets a good night's sleep is \(x\). When he flies first class, the probability that he gets a good night's sleep is 0.9.
(i) Draw a fully labelled tree diagram to illustrate this situation.
The probability that Julian gets a good night's sleep on a randomly chosen flight is 0.285.
(ii) Find the value of \(x\).
(iii) Given that on a particular flight Julian does not get a good night's sleep, find the probability that he is flying economy class.
Solution
(i) The tree diagram is as follows:
First branch: Economy (E) with probability 0.82, First class (F) with probability 0.18.
Second branch from Economy: Good Night's Sleep (GNS) with probability \(x\), Not GNS with probability \(1-x\).
Second branch from First class: GNS with probability 0.9, Not GNS with probability 0.1.
(ii) The probability of getting a good night's sleep is given by: