Let the events be defined as follows:
- ext{SSS}: All three vehicles go straight on.
- ext{LLL}: All three vehicles turn left.
- ext{RRR}: All three vehicles turn right.
The probability that all three vehicles choose the same direction is given by:
\(P( ext{same direction}) = P( ext{SSS}) + P( ext{LLL}) + P( ext{RRR})\)
Calculating each probability:
\(P( ext{SSS}) = 0.3^3\)
\(P( ext{LLL}) = 0.55^3\)
\(P( ext{RRR}) = 0.15^3\)
Thus,
\(P( ext{same direction}) = 0.3^3 + 0.55^3 + 0.15^3\)
We need to find the probability that all three vehicles go straight on given that they all choose the same direction:
\(P( ext{SSS} \,|\, ext{all same direction}) = \frac{P( ext{SSS and same direction})}{P( ext{same direction})}\)
Since ext{SSS} is a subset of ext{same direction},
\(P( ext{SSS and same direction}) = P( ext{SSS}) = 0.3^3\)
Therefore,
\(P( ext{SSS} \,|\, ext{all same direction}) = \frac{0.3^3}{0.3^3 + 0.55^3 + 0.15^3}\)
Calculating the values:
\(0.3^3 = 0.027\)
\(0.55^3 = 0.166375\)
\(0.15^3 = 0.003375\)
Thus,
\(P( ext{same direction}) = 0.027 + 0.166375 + 0.003375 = 0.197\)
Finally,
\(P( ext{SSS} \,|\, ext{all same direction}) = \frac{0.027}{0.197} \approx 0.137\)