Exam-Style Problem

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June 2019 p63 q2
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Megan sends messages to her friends in one of 3 different ways: text, email or social media. For each message, the probability that she uses text is 0.3 and the probability that she uses email is 0.2. She receives an immediate reply from a text message with probability 0.4, from an email with probability 0.15 and from social media with probability 0.6.

(i) Draw a fully labelled tree diagram to represent this information.

(ii) Given that Megan does not receive an immediate reply to a message, find the probability that the message was an email.

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