Exam-Style Problem

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Nov 2020 p52 q4
2590

In a certain country, the weather each day is classified as fine or rainy. The probability that a fine day is followed by a fine day is 0.75 and the probability that a rainy day is followed by a fine day is 0.4. The probability that it is fine on 1 April is 0.8. The tree diagram below shows the possibilities for the weather on 1 April and 2 April.

(a) Complete the tree diagram to show the probabilities.

(b) Find the probability that 2 April is fine.

Let \(X\) be the event that 1 April is fine and \(Y\) be the event that 3 April is rainy.

(c) Find the value of \(P(X \cap Y)\).

(d) Find the probability that 1 April is fine given that 3 April is rainy.

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