Exam-Style Problem

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June 2021 p51 q4
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To gain a place at a science college, students first have to pass a written test and then a practical test.

Each student is allowed a maximum of two attempts at the written test. A student is only allowed a second attempt if they fail the first attempt. No student is allowed more than one attempt at the practical test. If a student fails both attempts at the written test, then they cannot attempt the practical test.

The probability that a student will pass the written test at the first attempt is 0.8. If a student fails the first attempt at the written test, the probability that they will pass at the second attempt is 0.6. The probability that a student will pass the practical test is always 0.3.

(a) Draw a tree diagram to represent this information, showing the probabilities on the branches.

(b) Find the probability that a randomly chosen student will succeed in gaining a place at the college.

(c) Find the probability that a randomly chosen student passes the written test at the first attempt given that the student succeeds in gaining a place at the college.

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