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Nov 2019 p61 q1
2578
When Shona goes to college she either catches the bus with probability 0.8 or she cycles with probability 0.2. If she catches the bus, the probability that she is late is 0.4. If she cycles, the probability that she is late is x. The probability that Shona is not late for college on a randomly chosen day is 0.63. Find the value of x.
Solution
Let the probability that Shona is late be the complement of the probability that she is not late. Therefore, the probability that she is late is:
\(1 - 0.63 = 0.37\)
The probability that Shona is late if she catches the bus is:
\(0.8 imes 0.4 = 0.32\)
The probability that Shona is late if she cycles is:
0.2 imes x
Thus, the total probability that Shona is late is: