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Stage 9 - Q1 - 3 marks
19927

Use the independent-event tree to find \(P(\text{neither event})\).

\(\frac{4}{7}\)
\(\frac{3}{7}\)
A
not A
\(\frac{1}{4}\)
\(\frac{3}{4}\)
\(\frac{1}{4}\)
\(\frac{3}{4}\)
A, B
A, not B
not A, B
neither
Hint

Multiply along a path; add only the separate paths you need.

Stage 9 - Q2 - 3 marks
19928

Use the independent-event tree to find \(P(\text{exactly one of A and B})\).

\(\frac{1}{2}\)
\(\frac{1}{2}\)
A
not A
\(\frac{3}{5}\)
\(\frac{2}{5}\)
\(\frac{3}{5}\)
\(\frac{2}{5}\)
A, B
A, not B
not A, B
neither
Hint

Multiply along a path; add only the separate paths you need.

Stage 9 - Q3 - 3 marks
19929

Use the independent-event tree to find \(P(\text{at least one of A and B})\).

\(\frac{2}{3}\)
\(\frac{1}{3}\)
A
not A
\(\frac{2}{5}\)
\(\frac{3}{5}\)
\(\frac{2}{5}\)
\(\frac{3}{5}\)
A, B
A, not B
not A, B
neither
Hint

Multiply along a path; add only the separate paths you need.

Stage 9 - Q4 - 3 marks
19930

Use the independent-event tree to find \(P(\text{both events or neither event})\).

\(\frac{1}{3}\)
\(\frac{2}{3}\)
A
not A
\(\frac{1}{3}\)
\(\frac{2}{3}\)
\(\frac{1}{3}\)
\(\frac{2}{3}\)
A, B
A, not B
not A, B
neither
Hint

Multiply along a path; add only the separate paths you need.

Stage 9 - Q5 - 3 marks
19931

The tree shows two independent events. Which complete outcome or outcomes are most likely? Give the probability of each.

\(\frac{4}{5}\)
\(\frac{1}{5}\)
A
not A
\(\frac{4}{7}\)
\(\frac{3}{7}\)
\(\frac{4}{7}\)
\(\frac{3}{7}\)
A, B
A, not B
not A, B
neither
Hint

A large first branch does not alone determine the most likely complete outcome.

Stage 9 - Q6 - 3 marks
19932

Use the independent-event tree to find \(P(\text{exactly one of A and B})\).

\(\frac{3}{7}\)
\(\frac{4}{7}\)
A
not A
\(\frac{1}{7}\)
\(\frac{6}{7}\)
\(\frac{1}{7}\)
\(\frac{6}{7}\)
A, B
A, not B
not A, B
neither
Hint

Multiply along a path; add only the separate paths you need.

Stage 9 - Q7 - 3 marks
19933

Use the independent-event tree to find \(P(\text{at least one of A and B})\).

\(\frac{1}{4}\)
\(\frac{3}{4}\)
A
not A
\(\frac{1}{3}\)
\(\frac{2}{3}\)
\(\frac{1}{3}\)
\(\frac{2}{3}\)
A, B
A, not B
not A, B
neither
Hint

Multiply along a path; add only the separate paths you need.

Stage 9 - Q8 - 3 marks
19934

Use the independent-event tree to find \(P(\text{both events or neither event})\).

\(\frac{1}{6}\)
\(\frac{5}{6}\)
A
not A
\(\frac{3}{4}\)
\(\frac{1}{4}\)
\(\frac{3}{4}\)
\(\frac{1}{4}\)
A, B
A, not B
not A, B
neither
Hint

Multiply along a path; add only the separate paths you need.

Stage 9 - Q9 - 3 marks
19935

The tree shows two independent events. Which complete outcome or outcomes are most likely? Give the probability of each.

\(\frac{2}{3}\)
\(\frac{1}{3}\)
A
not A
\(\frac{1}{2}\)
\(\frac{1}{2}\)
\(\frac{1}{2}\)
\(\frac{1}{2}\)
A, B
A, not B
not A, B
neither
Hint

A large first branch does not alone determine the most likely complete outcome.

Stage 9 - Q10 - 5 marks
19936

Two independent alarms each trigger with probability \(p\). The probability that at least one triggers is \(\frac{15}{16}\). Find \(p\).

Hint

Start with the complement: neither alarm triggers.

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