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9231 P44 - Nov 2025 - Q4 - 10 marks
6624
The random variable \(X\) takes values 1 and 2 with probabilities \(\frac{2}{5}\) and \(\frac{3}{5}\) respectively. (a) Write down the probability generating function \(\mathrm{G}_{X}(t)\) of \(X\). The random variable \(Y\) is the sum of four independent observations of \(X\). (b) Find the probability generating function \(\mathrm{G}_{Y}(t)\) of \(Y\). Give your answer in the form \(\mathrm{G}_{Y}(t)=a t^{m}(b+c t)^{n}\), where \(a, b, c, m\) and \(n\) are constants to be determined. (c) Use \(\mathrm{G}_{Y}(t)\) to find \(\mathrm{P}(Y=6)\). (d) Find \(\operatorname{Var}(Y)\).
Let \(Y=X_1+X_2+X_3+X_4\), where the four observations are independent and each has the same distribution as \(X\). The probability generating function of a sum of independent random variables is the product of their probability generating functions, so