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9231 P41 - Nov 2025 - Q1 - 6 marks
6601
A group of 10 school children are asked to estimate the size of an angle \(\theta^{\circ}\) in a given acute angled triangle. These estimates, in degrees, are as follows.
\(84\)
\(85\)
\(77\)
\(85\)
\(84\)
\(87\)
\(86\)
\(88\)
\(83\)
\(85\)
(a) Stating any assumptions you make, calculate a \(95\%\) confidence interval for \(\theta\).
(b) Give a reason why the assumptions made in part (a) may not be appropriate in this case.
Solution
Answer:
(a) Assuming the children’s estimates are independent observations from a normal population with mean \(\theta\), a 95% confidence interval for \(\theta\) is \((82.3^\circ,\,86.5^\circ)\).
(b) These assumptions may not be appropriate because the angle is acute and the estimates are close to \(90^\circ\), so the distribution of estimates may be skewed or truncated rather than normal.
(a) Let the estimates be treated as a sample from a normal population with mean \(\theta\), and assume the observations are independent. Since the population variance is unknown and the sample size is small, use a \(t\)-interval with \(10-1=9\) degrees of freedom.
So, to 1 decimal place, the interval is \((82.3^\circ,\,86.5^\circ)\).
(b) The normal model may not be suitable here because the triangle is acute, so the true angle is below \(90^\circ\), and the estimates are quite close to \(90^\circ\). This means the possible estimates may be limited or skewed near \(90^\circ\), rather than being well modelled by a normal distribution.