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June 2007 p6 q6
3340
The probability that New Year's Day is on a Saturday in a randomly chosen year is \(\frac{1}{7}\).
56 years are chosen randomly. Use a suitable approximation to find the probability that more than 7 of these years have New Year's Day on a Saturday.
Solution
Let \(X\) be the number of years out of 56 where New Year's Day is on a Saturday. \(X\) follows a binomial distribution with parameters \(n = 56\) and \(p = \frac{1}{7}\).
We approximate this binomial distribution with a normal distribution. The mean \(\mu\) and variance \(\sigma^2\) are given by: