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June 2010 p61 q5
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In the holidays Martin spends 25% of the day playing computer games. Martin’s friend phones him once a day at a randomly chosen time.
(ii) Another holiday period lasts for 12 days. State with a reason whether it is appropriate to use a normal approximation to find the probability that there are fewer than 7 days on which Martin is playing computer games when his friend phones.
(iii) Find the probability that there are at least 13 days of a 40-day holiday period on which Martin is playing computer games when his friend phones.
Solution
(ii) For a normal approximation to be appropriate, both the expected number of successes and failures should be at least 5. Here, the expected number of successes is given by:
\(12 \times 0.25 = 3\)
Since 3 is less than 5, it is not appropriate to use a normal approximation.
(iii) Let the random variable \(X\) represent the number of days Martin is playing games when his friend phones in a 40-day period. \(X\) follows a binomial distribution with parameters \(n = 40\) and \(p = 0.25\).
The mean \(\mu\) and variance \(\sigma^2\) of \(X\) are:
\(\mu = 40 \times 0.25 = 10\)
\(\sigma^2 = 40 \times 0.25 \times 0.75 = 7.5\)
Using a normal approximation, we find \(P(X \geq 13)\) with continuity correction: