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June 2016 p61 q5
3310
Plastic drinking straws are manufactured to fit into drinks cartons which have a hole in the top. A straw fits into the hole if the diameter of the straw is less than 3 mm. The diameters of the straws have a normal distribution with mean 2.6 mm and standard deviation 0.25 mm.
A straw is chosen at random. Find the probability that it fits into the hole in a drinks carton.
500 straws are chosen at random. Use a suitable approximation to find the probability that at least 480 straws fit into the holes in drinks cartons.
Justify the use of your approximation.
Solution
(i) To find the probability that a straw fits into the hole, we need to calculate the probability that the diameter is less than 3 mm. This is given by:
Using the standard normal distribution table, \(P(Z < 1.6) = 0.945\).
(ii) For 500 straws, we use a normal approximation to the binomial distribution. Let \(X \sim B(500, 0.9452)\). The normal approximation is \(X \sim N(472.6, 25.898)\).
We need \(P(X \geq 480)\), which is approximated by:
Using the standard normal distribution table, \(P(Z > 1.3558) = 1 - 0.9125 = 0.0875\).
(iii) The approximation is justified because both \(500 \times 0.9452\) and \(500 \times (1 - 0.9452)\) are greater than 5, satisfying the conditions for using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution.