Pia runs 2 km every day and her times in minutes are normally distributed with mean 10.1 and standard deviation 1.3.
(a) Find the probability that on a randomly chosen day Pia takes longer than 11.3 minutes to run 2 km.
(c) On how many days in a period of 90 days would you expect Pia to take between 8.9 and 11.3 minutes to run 2 km?
Solution
(a) To find the probability that Pia takes longer than 11.3 minutes, we use the standard normal distribution. First, we standardize the variable:
\(P(X > 11.3) = P\left( Z > \frac{11.3 - 10.1}{1.3} \right) = P(Z > 0.9231)\)
Using the standard normal distribution table, \(P(Z > 0.9231) = 1 - P(Z < 0.9231) = 1 - 0.822\)
Thus, \(P(X > 11.3) = 0.178\).
(c) To find the number of days Pia takes between 8.9 and 11.3 minutes, we calculate:
\(P(8.9 < X < 11.3) = 1 - 2 \times P(X > 11.3)\)
\(= 2 \times (0.5 - 0.178) = 0.644\)
The expected number of days is \(90 \times 0.644 = 57.96\), which rounds to 57 days.
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