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June 2023 p53 q1
3107
Two fair coins are thrown at the same time repeatedly until a pair of heads is obtained. The number of throws taken is denoted by the random variable X.
(a) State the value of \(E(X)\).
(b) Find the probability that exactly 5 throws are required to obtain a pair of heads.
(c) Find the probability that fewer than 7 throws are required to obtain a pair of heads.
Solution
(a) The probability of obtaining a pair of heads (HH) in one throw is \(\frac{1}{4}\). The expected number of throws \(E(X)\) is the reciprocal of this probability, so \(E(X) = \frac{1}{\frac{1}{4}} = 4\).
(b) The probability that exactly 5 throws are required is given by the geometric distribution formula: \(P(X = 5) = \left( \frac{3}{4} \right)^4 \left( \frac{1}{4} \right) = 0.0791\).
(c) The probability that fewer than 7 throws are required is \(P(X < 7) = 1 - \left( \frac{3}{4} \right)^6\). Calculating this gives \(1 - \left( \frac{3}{4} \right)^6 = 0.822\).