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June 2020 p51 q1
3103
The score when two fair six-sided dice are thrown is the sum of the two numbers on the upper faces.
(a) Show that the probability that the score is 4 is \(\frac{1}{12}\).
(b) The two dice are thrown repeatedly until a score of 4 is obtained. The number of throws taken is denoted by the random variable \(X\). Find the mean of \(X\).
(c) Find the probability that a score of 4 is first obtained on the 6th throw.
(d) Find \(P(X < 8)\).
Solution
(a) The possible combinations to get a score of 4 are (1,3), (3,1), and (2,2). There are 3 favorable outcomes. The total number of outcomes when two dice are thrown is 36. Therefore, the probability is \(\frac{3}{36} = \frac{1}{12}\).
(b) The mean of a geometric distribution is given by \(\frac{1}{p}\), where \(p\) is the probability of success. Here, \(p = \frac{1}{12}\), so the mean is \(\frac{1}{\frac{1}{12}} = 12\).
(c) The probability that the first success occurs on the 6th trial is given by \(\left( \frac{11}{12} \right)^5 \times \frac{1}{12}\). Calculating this gives \(0.0539\) or \(\frac{161051}{2985984}\).
(d) The probability that \(X < 8\) is \(1 - \left( \frac{11}{12} \right)^7\). Calculating this gives \(0.456\) or \(\frac{16344637}{35831808}\).